@techreport{AktugTorul2026, author = {Aktu{\u{g}}, Emrehan and Torul, Orhan}, institution = {Sabanc{\i} University and Bo{\u{g}}azi{\c{c}}i University}, month = {October}, title = {The Market-Perceived Monetary Policy Rule: Evidence from Prediction Markets}, type = {Working Paper}, url = {https://orhantorul.com/marper.pdf}, year = {2026}, bdsk-url-1 = {https://orhantorul.com/marper.pdf} }